Predict the election
Posted: Wed Oct 22, 2008 4:07 pmI'm working off of two maps here so I hope I don't get the states wrong.
State - Candidate
AL - 9 McCain
AK - 3 McCain
AZ - 10 McCain
AR - 6 McCain
CA - 55 Obama
CO - 9 Obama
CT - 7 Obama
DC - 3 Obama
DE - 3 Obama
FL - 27 Obama
GA - 15 Obama
HI - 4 Obama
ID - 11 McCain
IL - 21 Obama
IN - 11 McCain
IA - 7 Obama
KS - 6 McCain
KY - 8 McCain
LA - 9 McCain
ME - 4 Obama
MD - 10 Obama
MA - 12 Obama
MI - 17 Obama
MN - 10 Obama
MS - 6 McCain
MO - 11 Obama
MT - 3 McCain
NE - 5 McCain
NV - 5 Obama
NH - 4 Obama
NJ - 15 Obama
NM - 5 Obama
NY - 31 Obama
NC - 15 Obama
ND - 3 Obama
OH - 20 McCain (Obama Leads, however, this has turned into such a republican state I think the 2% margin of error will favor McCain)
OK - 7 McCain
OR - 7 Obama
PA - 21 Obama
RI - 4 Obama
SC - 8 McCain
SD - 3 McCain
TN - 11 McCain
TX - 34 McCain
UT - 5 McCain
VT - 3 Obama
VA - 13 Obama
WA - 11 Obama
WV - 5 McCain
WI - 10 Obama
WY - 3 McCain
If I remember correctly, PR has some sort of tie breaking vote in the EC but I can't find that page which discusses it.
347 Obama
191 McCain
If Ohio goes Democrat (very unlikely):
367 Obama
171 McCain
http://www.pollster.com/
Edit: news update -
Georgia May Flip Democrat. Record numbers of black voters have been registered and have been voting early. Though McCain polls higher, Obama has had a record number of early votes cast for him, leading McCain by a wide margin.
IF Georgia flips it will may look like this:
362 Obama
176 McCain
If Ohio goes Democrat as well (very unlikely):
382 Obama
156 McCain
A Conservative poll I'm looking at now is predicting:
Colorado - McCain
North Dakota - McCain
Georgia - McCain
North Carolina - McCain
Ohio - McCain
Florida - McCain
Nevada - McCain
MO - McCain
277 - Obama
261 - McCain
This is a very unlikely scenario.
Use the yahoo link to adjust the states as you see fit, then click the "link to this" button, and give us your prediction
The New Zogby Poll is predicting much bigger win than my prediction.
State - Candidate
AL - 9 McCain
AK - 3 McCain
AZ - 10 McCain
AR - 6 McCain
CA - 55 Obama
CO - 9 Obama
CT - 7 Obama
DC - 3 Obama
DE - 3 Obama
FL - 27 Obama
GA - 15 Obama
HI - 4 Obama
ID - 11 McCain
IL - 21 Obama
IN - 11 McCain
IA - 7 Obama
KS - 6 McCain
KY - 8 McCain
LA - 9 McCain
ME - 4 Obama
MD - 10 Obama
MA - 12 Obama
MI - 17 Obama
MN - 10 Obama
MS - 6 McCain
MO - 11 Obama
MT - 3 McCain
NE - 5 McCain
NV - 5 Obama
NH - 4 Obama
NJ - 15 Obama
NM - 5 Obama
NY - 31 Obama
NC - 15 Obama
ND - 3 Obama
OH - 20 McCain (Obama Leads, however, this has turned into such a republican state I think the 2% margin of error will favor McCain)
OK - 7 McCain
OR - 7 Obama
PA - 21 Obama
RI - 4 Obama
SC - 8 McCain
SD - 3 McCain
TN - 11 McCain
TX - 34 McCain
UT - 5 McCain
VT - 3 Obama
VA - 13 Obama
WA - 11 Obama
WV - 5 McCain
WI - 10 Obama
WY - 3 McCain
If I remember correctly, PR has some sort of tie breaking vote in the EC but I can't find that page which discusses it.
347 Obama
191 McCain
If Ohio goes Democrat (very unlikely):
367 Obama
171 McCain
http://www.pollster.com/
Edit: news update -
Georgia May Flip Democrat. Record numbers of black voters have been registered and have been voting early. Though McCain polls higher, Obama has had a record number of early votes cast for him, leading McCain by a wide margin.
IF Georgia flips it will may look like this:
362 Obama
176 McCain
If Ohio goes Democrat as well (very unlikely):
382 Obama
156 McCain
A Conservative poll I'm looking at now is predicting:
Colorado - McCain
North Dakota - McCain
Georgia - McCain
North Carolina - McCain
Ohio - McCain
Florida - McCain
Nevada - McCain
MO - McCain
277 - Obama
261 - McCain
This is a very unlikely scenario.
Use the yahoo link to adjust the states as you see fit, then click the "link to this" button, and give us your prediction
The New Zogby Poll is predicting much bigger win than my prediction.