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Tezuka In English Discussion Forums • View topic - Predict the election

Predict the election



Moderators: strobe_z, putrocca

Predict the election

Postby Kevin » Wed Oct 22, 2008 4:07 pm

I'm working off of two maps here so I hope I don't get the states wrong.

State - Candidate
AL - 9 McCain
AK - 3 McCain
AZ - 10 McCain
AR - 6 McCain
CA - 55 Obama
CO - 9 Obama
CT - 7 Obama
DC - 3 Obama
DE - 3 Obama
FL - 27 Obama
GA - 15 Obama
HI - 4 Obama
ID - 11 McCain
IL - 21 Obama
IN - 11 McCain
IA - 7 Obama
KS - 6 McCain
KY - 8 McCain
LA - 9 McCain
ME - 4 Obama
MD - 10 Obama
MA - 12 Obama
MI - 17 Obama
MN - 10 Obama
MS - 6 McCain
MO - 11 Obama
MT - 3 McCain
NE - 5 McCain
NV - 5 Obama
NH - 4 Obama
NJ - 15 Obama
NM - 5 Obama
NY - 31 Obama
NC - 15 Obama
ND - 3 Obama
OH - 20 McCain (Obama Leads, however, this has turned into such a republican state I think the 2% margin of error will favor McCain)
OK - 7 McCain
OR - 7 Obama
PA - 21 Obama
RI - 4 Obama
SC - 8 McCain
SD - 3 McCain
TN - 11 McCain
TX - 34 McCain
UT - 5 McCain
VT - 3 Obama
VA - 13 Obama
WA - 11 Obama
WV - 5 McCain
WI - 10 Obama
WY - 3 McCain

If I remember correctly, PR has some sort of tie breaking vote in the EC but I can't find that page which discusses it.



347 Obama
191 McCain

If Ohio goes Democrat (very unlikely):

367 Obama
171 McCain

http://www.pollster.com/


Edit: news update -

Georgia May Flip Democrat. Record numbers of black voters have been registered and have been voting early. Though McCain polls higher, Obama has had a record number of early votes cast for him, leading McCain by a wide margin.

IF Georgia flips it will may look like this:


362 Obama
176 McCain

If Ohio goes Democrat as well (very unlikely):

382 Obama
156 McCain


A Conservative poll I'm looking at now is predicting:
Colorado - McCain
North Dakota - McCain
Georgia - McCain
North Carolina - McCain
Ohio - McCain
Florida - McCain
Nevada - McCain
MO - McCain

277 - Obama
261 - McCain



This is a very unlikely scenario.

Use the yahoo link to adjust the states as you see fit, then click the "link to this" button, and give us your prediction :)

The New Zogby Poll is predicting much bigger win than my prediction.
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Postby Tetsu Deinonychus » Fri Nov 20, 2009 7:40 am

I predict Skeletor to win the 2012 election!

It's only a matter of time before he finally defeats He-Man and takes the power of Greyskull. Then what else would he have to do?

Vote Skeletor, '12!
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